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Wednesday, November 2, 2016

261st post

BACK TO OUR HOUSE ON OTTOBINE ROAD....

CONTINUED FROM YESTERDAY....

"Our orders were to keep our head down and eat fast. The head cook (a army 

Sergeant or Sergeant First Class) wore a dirty apron and surveyed his mess hall 

domain and all at once...." I looked up, the cook saw me and said perhaps "you

trainee, you've got KP" (Kitchen Police?)." If I remember correctly, I was given 

two days of mostly peeling potatoes and cleaning up the kitchen and the mess 

hall where we ate. 

They did not have an automatic potato peeling machine like they do today 

and food is almost always prepared and served cafeteria style by caterers 

who submit bids to the military hoping for the contract for serving food to the 

soldiers.

Another thing I remember is that the drill sergeant slept in a private room at

the end of the hall. We trainees slept in the same barracks in double bunks 

with a foot locker for our military clothing stack and folded according to a 

diagram.

At about 4:00 AM in the morning the door to the drill sergeant's door opened 

and....

TO BE CONTINUED....


WORLD

I received another postcard yesterday as a member of postcrossing.com.

The sender was from Germany and the postcard displayed a beautiful picture

of the architecture of buildings in the background and canals and/or rivers in 

the foreground. And two stamps on the back that are replicas of the picture.

And thanks again to the sender.


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Germany

Country in Europe

Germany is a Western European country with a landscape of forests, rivers, 

mountain ranges and North Sea beaches. It has over 2 millennia of history. 

Berlin, its capital, is home to art and nightlife scenes, the Brandenburg Gate 

and many sites relating to WWII. Munich is known for its Oktoberfest and 

beer halls, including the 16th-century HofbrÀuhaus. Frankfurt, with its 

skyscrapers, houses the European Central Bank.

Capital: Berlin

Dialing code: +49

Population: 80.62 million (2013) World Bank

President: Joachim Gauck

Chancellor: Angela Merkel


I like Germany because I'm suppose to be full German with the last name of

Caricofe and Mother's maiden name of Cline.

And I'm not going to order one of those DNA tests that's advertised on TV to tell if

I have a different bloodline.

Period.

And someone told me recently that Caricofe was Russian and you know there're

lying like a politician.


HEALTH


QUOTE (S) FOR THIS POST

"People are forced to take more medications to counter the  reactions to the 

medications they are taking."
  
Forrest Caricofe

Googled search: About 5,560,000 results (1.08 seconds) 

No results found for "People are forced to take more medications to counter 

the reactions to the medications they are taking."


QUOTE (S) FOR THIS POST

"If you do for yourself instead of others doing it for you, you will always get the 

exercise of doing it."

Forrest Caricofe

Google search: About 123,000,000 results (0.93 seconds) 

No results found for "If you do for yourself instead of others doing it for you, 

you will always get the exercise of doing it."


QUOTE (S) FOR THIS POST
  
"Some people have heart attacks or worse who get emotionally involved in 

watching sports , but if they acted like me who goes to bed about 8:30 PM

and gets up at about 4:00 AM and Googles the final score in the morning,

they would sure not have a problem."

Forrest Caricofe

Google search: "4" (and any subsequent words) was ignored because we 

limit queries to 32 words. 

Your search - "Some people have heart attacks or worse who get emotionally 

involved in watching sports , but ... - did not match any documents.


SPORTS

The Ceveland Caveliers basketball team who their Campionship will

are also playing at the Quicken Loans Arena (sometimes called the Q) in 

Cleveland and when finished they will travel thru an underground tunnel to

Progressive Field to watch the game.


Play by play until my bedtime at 8:30 PM.

Hunter Hayes sings the National Anthem (7:59 PM 11/1/2016 EDT) 

TV     World Series just starting        Temperature 71 degrees

Progressive Field 

First pitch (8:10 PM 11/1/2016 EDT)  

Home run Cubs (8:16 PM 11/1/2016 EDT) 1-0 Cubs

Cubs 3-0  (8:24 PM 11/1/2016 EDT) 


It's morning and I'm awake.

Google news    Cubs 9    Indians 3

Game 7 tonight. The winner will be the World Series Champions.

The Indians have not won a World Series for 68 years. I was 6 years old at the

time and don't remember that.

The Cubs have not won a World Series in 108 years and I don't know of 

anyone in the family tree that has remembered that.


QUOTE (S) FOR THIS POST
  
"Kids whose parents want them to be politicians are already teaching them 

how to lie."

Forrest Caricofe

Google search: About 96,600,000 results (1.81 seconds) 

No results found for "Kids whose parents want them to be politicians are 

already teaching them how to lie."


US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

BBC News

BBC Poll of Polls

Yesterday     Nov 1        Clinton 49%      Trump 46%

Today           Nov 2        Clinton  48%      Trump 46% 

Last updated     November 2


Election day      November 8

Six days and counting.


from investopedia.com

What is 'Brexit'

"Brexit is an abbreviation for "British exit," which refers to the June 23, 2016, 

referendum whereby British citizens voted to exit the European Union. The 

referendum roiled global markets, including currencies, causing the British 

pound to fall to its lowest level in decades. Prime Minister David Cameron, 

who supported the United Kingdom remaining in the European Union, 

resigned on July 13 as a result. Home Secretary Theresa May, leader of the 

Conservative Party, became Prime Minister."


Can Trump pull off a Brexit-style upset?

By Brian Wheeler

BBC News, Washington DC

30 October 2016

From the section Magazine


"Republican nominee Donald Trump has vowed to pull off "Brexit times five" 

in the US presidential elections. Could he do it?

Millions of Britons switched off their TVs and went to bed late on Thursday 23 

June in the fairly confident belief that, for better or worse, nothing was going to 

change.

They awoke to pictures of UKIP leader Nigel Farage telling ecstatic supporters 

that the "dawn is breaking on an independent United Kingdom".

Could America be in for a similar dawn surprise on the morning of 9 November?

The polls say no...

UKIP leader Nigel Farage has campaigned with Trump

At first glance, it does not look likely.

Donald Trump has been trailing Hillary Clinton in most national opinion polls 

by between 3% and 10%.

That was before the FBI announced it was looking into new documents related 

to its investigation of Clinton's emails. It remains to be seen how much of an 

impact that news will have on voters.

Trump and his supporters point out that the polls were wrong about Brexit, but 

it is a bit more complicated than that.

In fact, apart from an erroneous but fairly uniform late swing to Remain, the 

polls were all over the place, sometimes putting the Leave campaign ahead, 

sometimes Remain.

Interestingly, internet polls, with a few exceptions, were predicting a Leave 

victory in the weeks leading up to the referendum, while those conducted over 

the phone were pointing to a Remain win.

But the underlying assumption, among the political and media establishment, 

was that the voters' natural caution would kick in and they would opt for the 

status quo.

The bookmakers - whose views on such matters always carry more weight in 

the UK - were in agreement.

And even the biggest cheerleaders for Brexit were talking down their chances 

of victory. Within minutes of the polls closing on 23 June, Farage told a TV 

reporter: "[It] looks like Remain will edge it."

...But faith in pollsters' methods has taken a knock....


Mobile phones can complicate polling

The Brexit result was a new reputational hit for the polling industry, which had 

also got it wrong at the 2015 UK and Israeli general elections and in some 2016 

US Democratic primaries. The pollsters have yet to figure out a way to fix things.

In the UK and the US companies are finding it increasingly difficult to capture 

truly representative samples of voters.

It used to be possible to rely on randomly generated landline numbers but the 

growth of mobile phones - and an increasing reluctance from the public to take 

part in surveys - has made high-quality polling a difficult and expensive 

business.

US laws restrict the use of auto-diallers, meaning interviewers have to dial 

cell phone numbers by hand. It is not unusual to to have to dial 20,000 random 

numbers just to complete a 1,000-person survey.

Cash-strapped media organisations are increasingly commissioning cheaper 

internet polls, which are thought to be less accurate by some, even though they 

appeared to be closer to the truth over Brexit.

One US polling company, IBD/TIPP, which samples an unusually high 

proportion of cell phone users and claims to be among the most accurate out 

there, was predicting a closer race than others before swinging towards 

Clinton.

Ragavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which runs 

the IBD/TIPP poll, said recently the Brexit vote demonstrated the limits of the 

"proprietary 'likely voter' models" most companies use to predict who will and 

won't show up on election day.

He also highlighted the more traditional problem of voters not telling pollsters 

what they really think, which may have been a factor in the Brexit vote: "Trump 

supporters might have been cautious to report their preference given the 

derision directed towards them by some elites in the media and elsewhere,

" he says. Gallup, one of the biggest names in polling, has simply thrown in 

the towel, announcing it would not be predicting the winner of this year's 

presidential election, after getting it wrong last time. It has opted instead to 

concentrate on researching the issues.

Might non-voters vote?

The Leave campaign managed to mobilise an army of previous non-voters

Sweep away all of the speculation about polling methodology and you are

left with one inescapable fact about the Brexit vote.

Some 2.8 million people - about 6% of the electorate - who had not voted for 

decades, if ever, turned up at polling stations on 23 June - and almost all of 

them voted to leave the EU.

"It was more than enough to ensure we lost," writes Remain campaign chief 

Sir Craig Oliver, in a new book.

"We should have done more to understand their concerns and persuade them 

why leaving the EU would be bad for them."

The Remain campaign had listened to the experts, says Oliver, who had told 

them that non-voters don't vote.

But the experts were wrong.

If this pattern was repeated at the US election, Trump would arguably be 

looking good for the White House. Particularly if Democratic voters fail to 

turn out in the sort of numbers they did for Obama in 2012.

Like the Clinton campaign, the Remainers put most emphasis on dire 

warnings of a leap into the unknown.

But they had not counted on the depth of anger in working-class communities, 

who, it appears, felt their views on immigration and globalisation had been 

ignored for too long by what they regarded as a self-serving political elite.

Referendums and elections aren't the same

Referendum ballot paper

Some Brexit supporters - like some Trump supporters - were convinced that 

the vote would be rigged by the powers-that-be. Some even urged their 

friends on social media to bring pens to polling stations, in case the security 

services tried to erase the pencil marks on the ballot papers.

Referendums are very different beasts to general elections, however. The 

result does not hinge on the outcome of a few "battleground" or marginal 

contests. Every vote has equal weight.

The Brexit referendum also had a far higher turnout, at 72%, than many are 

expecting in the race for the White House, given the unpopularity of the two

main candidates.

But making predictions is a dangerous business at this most unusual of 

elections.

"It's not in the bag"

Nate Silver, of the FiveThirtyEight blog, who famously predicted the correct 

result in all 50 states at the 2012 US election, is more bullish about Trump's 

prospects than most number-crunchers.

He suggests, in a recent post, that many pollsters have not factored enough 

uncertainty into their models, particularly given the popularity of third-party 

candidates and the high number of undecideds.

He still believes Clinton is "probably" going to be the next President of the 

United States, but adds: "You shouldn't give up if you're a Trump supporter, 

or assume you have it in the bag if you're voting for Clinton."

Traditionally, when desperate politicians are confronted with evidence of 

their own unpopularity, they have mumbled something about the only poll 

that matters being on election day.

This time it might actually be true."

Join the conversation - find us on Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat and Twitter


QUOTE (S) FOR THIS POST

"The weather is like a rebellious child who does not obey their parents the 

weather doing the same by not obeying the desires of the people."
  
Forrest Caricofe

Google search: About 1,840,000 results (1.54 seconds) 

No results found for "The weather is like a rebellious child who does not 

obey their parents, the weather doing the same by not obeying the desires 

of the people."


WEATHER

Weather for Smithville, Ohio

Today      PARTLY_CLOUDY          76° 60°

Thu           RAIN                                  60° 42°

Fri             PARTLY_CLOUDY          53° 35°

Sat            SUNNY                               59° 42°

The Weather Channel - Weather Underground - AccuWeather


The Summer time-like weather of yesterday allowed me to do some work in

yard, but I had to first go to Walmart to pick up my new eye glasses. This is 

my first set of trifocals and now I don't have to touch my nose to the computer

screen to read now. I also bought 3 bags of black mulch and Kentucky Blue Grass

seed. The woman Walmart employee was calling for help to get the bags 

loaded when I said "I can do it." I guess she thought I was too old a man to put 

the bags in a grocery cart and take to the car. That's funny and my thoughts 

on that is do for yourself and not have others do it for you.

When I came back to the house I hooked the cart to the garden tractor, loaded 

the cart with the mulch, grass seed, shovel, sunscreen, flower bulbs, scissors for 

cutting the grass seed bags, container of poison to spray on the wire weeds, 

well water for drinking in a gallon jug and a canister of Pringles (cheddar) 

that I can eat without my false teeth.

I only had the time to seed about 1/2 the dead places in the yard, but I should 

be able to finish today and with rain forecast tomorrow the grass seed should 

get a good start.

If it's a Farmer's Rain tomorrow I'll be able to work in that. 

It's just like taking a long shower, ain't it?

Copyright ©2013 iliveinmycarandeatverywell.com All Rights Reserved


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I like friendly people of all races and cultures.